Steve Albers' CIRA Activities 6-1-2010 -----> 9-24-2010

LOCAL ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION SYSTEM (LAPS) _____________________________________________________

OVERVIEW

I report here on the development and implementation of meteorological analyses and forecasts for the Local Analysis and Prediction System within the Forecast Applications Branch (FAB). Background information about LAPS is available on the World Wide Web at http://laps.noaa.gov/. Other GSD projects include Science on a Sphere.

This report is organized with a section on LAPS improvements followed by a project highlights section. One key to our long term success is the ability to leverage similar work done for multiple projects into LAPS improvements, especially since only a small portion of our funding is specifically earmarked for such software development. Conversely, specific LAPS improvements often benefit multiple projects. The number of collaborative projects that I work on has become relatively large and these may not be fully reflected in the original CIRA statement of work due to the fluid nature of new contracts being agreed to at various times. To me this all lends credence to the notion of amalgamating some of the project work into common themes of software development for improved organization in this report.

LAPS/STMAS ANALYSIS IMPROVEMENTS

I have been working to increase the versatility of LAPS analyses (both the traditional version and the newer STMAS version). They can handle more types of data in a greater variety of situations to provide more accurate analyses. The analyses are now better suited for forecaster interpretation and model initialization. I'm also working on a few aspects of the model initialization and post-processing.

First Guess Interpolation

Software now runs faster on large domains based on improvements to the bilinear and binomial interpolation routines. The program now just does vertical interpolation in a box that is a subset of the large scale model to save more time. Support for the HRRR model first guess was improved.

The first guess interpolation now reads in GRIB data such as (HRRR) more efficiently, taking 25% less time. I've talked with Paula McCaslin about other changes that can take another 25% off, meaning the end result will be about twice as fast.

Observational Data Sets

Improvements were made in LAPS to analyze observations from new types of instruments and new data formats - thus expanding the envelope of meteorological data environments that we can operate in with our ever growing set of users. This is outlined in detail below for surface and upper air observations.

The surface observation blacklist was updated with a station that regularly reports erroneous wind directions.

Sub-hourly boundary layer RASS data can now be ingested, though the software no longer waits around for such data, helping to speed up our high-frequency runs.

Surface Analysis

New QC routines produce statistics using the 24-hour history of surface obs. These are now being called by the traditional LAPS surface analysis to report temperature and dewpoint bias, as well as "stuck sensor" checks for wind direction and speed. The stuck sensor wind checks now are used to withhold erroneous observations from the traditional LAPS surface analysis.

Radar Processing

I have worked towards more efficiency and other functional improvements for radar remapping and mosaicing. This is described in detail as follows. We now look for volumetric radar netCDF files in addition to the tilt ones.

Clouds / Precipitation Analyses

THe radar reflectivity access routine should work now using sparse (non-filled) arrays for STMAS. The "Kessler" option for precipitating rain and snow now has correct units. Preparations were made to use first guess humidity data within the satellite cloud top processing routine.

Wind / Temperature Analyses

Working with Jacques Middlecoff of the HPCC group, MPI changes to parallize key portions of the wind analysis are now in place. This is now running in real-time on our JET linux cluster. Related script refinements were made to have more flexibility and efficiency when we run the parallelized analysis on JET, including during the transition from the WJET to HJET clusters.

Radiometer temperature profiles now get used in the lowest 1km for the traditional LAPS temperature analysis.

Stability Indices

LAPS Model Initialization/Post Processing

The LFMPOST test script now works better and can be set up automatically via the LAPS configuration. LAPS Fire weather now gets calculated in LFMPOST by default.

General Software Improvements / Portability

Land Fraction is now unsmoothed (and is prevented from going slightly negative), so it will show more detail on high resolution (1km) analyses. Software error checking, documentation and logging were improved. Variable initialization was improved for machines that do not automatically initialize variables to zero. The purger can now be run in the background to speed up the run cycle. Core files are now also purged. Support was improved for running LAPS on different JET clusters (such as WJET and HJET). Portability improvements to LVD satellite ingest were made for the Intel compiler. Software builds are now being set up (and improved) for Intel, gfortran, (and PGI on the Mac).

LAPS Implementation

Other interaction within and outside of GSD

I continue to give ~1 weather briefing per month.

WWW LAPS Interface

Support was added for "montage" comparisons with the "on-the-fly" page. Additional fields were added and/or refined, including cloud and microphysics fields. Scaling was improved for certain variables. Forecast LAPS fire weather is now supported in our plotting software. NCAR graphics "ctrans" usage now works better on various machines. Pre-generated forecast graphics now more reliably read the domain aspect ratio from the grid specification file. The NCAR graphics and "on-the-fly" page now work more efficiently for forecast plots, while raster fields like 'divergence' now work for animations. Colorbars will now display for zoomed plots. Wind gusts were added to obs plots.

PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS

National Science Foundation (NSF)

Department of Water Resources (DWR)

Windsor Tornado Case Study

AFTAC/ATMET

Science on a Sphere (SOS)

Space-Time Mesoscale Analysis System (STMAS)

Added Sigma-Pressure grid support for library subroutines and modules.

Fire Weather

The LAPS/Kelsch fireweather index is now included in our model post-processor so we can generate this for model forecasts. NetCDF output files are now consistently set up for two of our main fireweather indices.

GeoTargeted Alert System (GTAS)