Some details of this forecast...
6h forecast has a strong storm crossing SW Denver
( sfmfcst )
Which proceeds right over DIA
( sfmfcst )
Looking ominous as its wall cloud approaches
( image )
And pounding the airport with hail
( image )
Eventually producing a small tornado and even larger hail
( sfmfcst )
And sustaining itself well into the night as it approaches Kansas
( sfmfcst )
Is this just "shear" luck???
Then what about the solution on the next day?
( Loop of long-lived storm/11 June 99 )
This storm produced a massive amount of small-medium hail that collapsed a roof south of Denver
( sfmfcst )
And was still well forecast at 10 h
( sfmfcst )
These two days had
more vertical wind shear
( 10 June sounding )
( 11 June sounding )
and each day had an organized, long-lived storm.
The type of storm that the model (at this resolution) tends to evolve towards.
Still...the position and timing were awfully good....
